Analyst Predicts Wii 1st, PS3 in 2nd place in 2008

By Jorge Ba-oh 05.04.2008 8

Daniel Ernst of Hudson Square Research has predicted the Wii coming out in pole position this year, PS3 closely behind.

Accoding to GameDaily, the company has predicted Wii's sales will total 23 million by the end of this year, 12.5m for Sony's PlayStation 3 and 11.2 million units for Microsoft's Xbox 360.

Microsoft got the jump on the industry with a one-year headstart, but nine months after its the launch, the Nintendo Wii overtook the Xbox 360 on a global basis.

While the PS3, has struggled out of the gate, we note that since last fall, the console has been outselling the Xbox 360 in Europe, and in the first two months of this year has even outsold the Xbox 360 on its home turf, in the U.S.

With its strong slate of software scheduled for the coming year, we expect a material acceleration for the PS3 this year, but we believe the Wii will sell more than the PS3 and Xbox 360 combined this year.

With the PlayStation 3 gaining momentum, does it have enough to sneak past the Xbox? And will the Wii continue to hold its place in the competition? With a fairly heavy basket of must-haves out this year - from Smash Bros Brawl to Wii Fit, Mario Kart to Wii Music will Nintendo's little baby come out tops?

How do you feel the rankings will be in a year's time? Do Nintendo have enough to hold onto their lead in the industry?

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I think people are seriously underestimating the PS3. I think it'll sell more than that to be honest.

tiamat1990 said:
I think people are seriously underestimating the PS3. I think it'll sell more than that to be honest.

Me too, I think it wll sell a lot more than predicted here, maybe as much as 16m.

Once GTA4, MGS4, GT5 and FFXIII start to hit the console, i think sales will increase drastically

I think this is gonna be the year PS3 really takes off. The only things that have held it back so far are it's high price and lack of AAA games. But that's changing and I think it'll start giving Wii a run for it's money later on in the year.

I think with price reductions and killer games it'll definitely have some potential, but the current Xbox 360 price is too good to put off imo.

Cubed3 Admin/Founder & Designer

There is no doubt that the Wii will remain top this year with some important game releases such as WiiFit which will definitely boost and maintain it's leading position.

The one thing that could really hurt the PS3 is if it were announced that MGS IV and/or FF XIII...II (some number in the teens) were going to be ported to the XBox 360 (which I still believe is exactly what will happen).

To the best of my knowledge, these are still only announced for the PS3, please correct me if I'm wrong.

Analysts had been quiet for a long time since they claimed Wii will be 3rd or so Smilie

I totally agree with samus_boy: With the current install base of PS3, developers just can't afford the exclusive, just like RE4 in GC.

And when ppl think PS3's price cut will do anything, they all forgot Wii can do the exact same.Smilie

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